Commodity Futures Trader

Posts Tagged ‘stock market’

Trend is your friend. But how do you know it is really your friend. Trend can only be your friend if you know that the trend is going to continue or it is about to reverse ahead. Otherwize, trend trading is going to give you a loss. Candlestick patterns can help you anticipate whether a trend is going to continue or reverse ahead. There are many candlestick patterns. Bullish Necklines is one of them. It is a two stick trend confirmation pattern that tells that the trend is expected to continue. There are two type of Neckline Patterns, the In Neck and the Out Neck. When you spot the Bullish Neckline in an uptrend, it is a signal that the trend is expected to continue for sometime.

The candle formed on the setup day should be a long bullish candle that shows a lot of buying. On the signal day a bearish candle either long or short is formed with its closing price very near the close of the setup day.

Now,there can be two types of Neckline Patterns depending on the closing prices on the signal and the setup days. In case, if the closing price on the first day is little lower than the closing price on the signal day, it is a In Neck Pattern. And if the closing price on the signal day is almost near the closing price on the setup day, it is an On Neck Pattern.

Trend following indicators is a way that many people invest in stocks. It’s a strategy that is used which will use long-term moves on how markets have done in the past to figure out what to trade and what to keep.

Using this method will be a way that people will know how and when to invest in the right stocks. Which will offer the best chance at profits, and how well they have done in the past will be figured into that strategy.

People who use this method are not forecasting what will happen but they are following a trend and using it. This method will use three main components. Current price of stock, equity level and current market volatility. How much you buy or sell will be determined prior to buying of the stock and be based on volatility.

This type of method will be used only after the stock has established a trend. In other words not on a new stock that hasn’t yet established any type of trend to it. Price will be one of the main considerations in this method. A person who trades through this method may use indicators to figure out which way the stock will go next.

Also how much will be traded during the trend will need to be figured out as well. If the market is at high volatility though trading will most likely be reduced in order to cut the losses on the trades. If you use trend following indicators, price and time are always going to be very important.

As you are currently well aware – the economy and markets are cyclic. In the past decade the value of metal based commodities have soared. The price increase for gold has been phenomenal.

Precious metals have gained tremendous value over the last few decades – but it has not been in a straight line.

The cost of living coupled with low inflation over the same time period has resulted in gold being a poor investment.

Gold will always have value being that it is a rare commodity, just like diamonds. Their value cannot be undermined in the way that paper currencies can be (by printing more money).

Investments in precious metals has always have been used as a backstop during times of economic duress.For example, from 1972 to 1980, when inflation peaked in the double-digit range stocks and bonds plummeted while gold and silver prices exploded by more than 500 percent. Gold has appeared to hit a bubble during this latest economic downturn.The quick increase in gold and silver prices appear to come out of fear versus actual inflation, which reduces the benefit of precious metals investing.

Investing in precious metals has not produced the expected returns over the long term.Over the decades, gold and silver investments hardly match the cost of living increases.Investing in gold and silver though, is better than just hording your cash. But as an investment the returns aren?t nearly as good as bonds, stocks, and real estate. Buying mutual funds or stocks can provide a better return if you truly want to invest in precious metals.

Thinking about going into online trading of commodity futures? If so then I am sure you are aware there is a lot of risk involved. Let’s have a look at the risk and how we can reduce it to a minimum.

The key thing to keep in mind is to risk only that money you can afford to lose. Online commodity futures trading is not about rushing to make the biggest gains possible and then retire.

Commodity trading though is still risky. Ideally you should reduce your risk and exposure and therefore the main thing is to only limit your investment to the amount of money you could afford to lose.

You need to try as much as possible to detach your emotions from your trading. If you are emotional with your losses or with your gains you are in for a roller coaster of a ride.

Let us take an example to illustrate things, shall we. Let us presume that we invest in 100 ounces of gold which is selling at $1000 an ounce. The value of the gold would therefore be $100,000. The margin or good will deposit we have to make is $10,000 towards the $100,000 worth of gold – a total of around 10% is normal.